Cut Off Trends How to Read and Use Them
Introduction
Cut off trends are a tool not a crystal ball. Use them to plan targets and to stay realistic
Collect data
Make a small table of last five years cut offs for your category and post. Note the number of vacancies and difficulty if available
Read the pattern
Rising cut off can mean more competition or an easier paper. Falling cut off can mean tougher paper or fewer posts. Never read a single year in isolation
Plan your target
Set your safe target a little above the average of the last three years. Train to reach that score in mocks and then a bit more for safety
Takeaway
Trends guide you. Your preparation decides the final number